While most Indexes focus on a slice of the market, such as sectors, factors, or themes, our indexes are complete, self-contained tactical portfolio management systems that evaluate dozens of ETFs each month seeking the best portfolio of the four things investors want most.
Introduction:
Alternatives Investing was developed to mitigate downside risk and hedge against volatility through improved diversification by including asset classes that historically have been poorly correlated with conventional equity and bond markets. MPT mediocrity!
The EZ-AL Index improves the Alternatives portfolios in three fundamental ways:
-- Employs signal processing to remove noise and better identify momentum leaders.
-- Establishes whether a Bull or Bear market. Switch to defensive funds when Bearish.
-- The portfolio is the set of momentum leaders, one from each alternative category.
Description:
During Bull markets, the EZ-AL Alternative Alternatives Index selects a portfolio of six ETFs comprising the Momentum Leaders of each of its six underlying strategies: Global Alts., Commodity Alts., Clean Energy Alts., Agriculture Alts., Infrastructure Alts., and Income Alts. During faltering Bull markets, the Index further considers the momentum of a Defensive Backstop strategy intended to provide a performance floor for the Momentum Leader selection process. During Bear markets, as determined by StormGuard-Armor, the Index employs a Bear Market Strategy that seeks to avoid risk and secure a positive return by selecting Momentum Leaders from among a selection of bond, treasury, gold, and other defensive ETFs.
Temporal Portfolio Theory:
Our algorithmic technology, Temporal Portfolio Theory, employs the cross-disciplinary sciences of Matched Filter Theory and Differential Signal Processing – the very same technologies that enable WiFi, USB, iPhones, digital TV, to perform so well. AI Fuzzy Logic and AI Feedback Loops further improve the model's defensive and adaptive performance.
RISK is Not a one-dimensional problem cured by a single dose of diversification. Risk is a multidimensional problem, and diversification’s passive “risk dilution” is only just the start. Our research shows that the most proficient way to reduce risk is through “risk avoidance” – specifically, avoidance of laggards and bear markets. Both require reliable measures of momentum. That’s our strong suit !
It’s all about employing advanced signal processing to reduce the market noise, improve the "signal-to-noise ratio," and better identify the top momentum leaders (not laggards) that will improve our odds of investment success next month.
The primary problem with the performance of “alternative funds” is the industry’s fixation on broad diversification of illiquid assets to mitigate risk and thus its inability to employ momentum to rotate out of a poorly performing asset and into a more profitable one. Thankfully, holding assets for extraordinary periods of time to achieve LTCG tax rates has become unnecessary with the advent of SumGrowth’s EZ-Indexes that employ defensive-momentum to both avoiding risk and achieving better returns.
EZ-Indexes often make short-term momentum and defensive trades seeking to own leaders and avoid laggards. While tax-deferred IRA and 401(k) accounts have changed the game for active traders, NQ (taxable) accounts can also provide tax-deferred growth by employing ETF exchange-in-kind principles! The chart and spreadsheet illustrate how it’s better to actively trade an Index like EZ-MO (with or without exchange-in-kind tax benefits) than it is to annually (and belatedly) trade an average basket of stocks.
The purpose of this document is to help everyone better understand that the shorter term character of this portfolio is naturally quite different from its longer term averages. Patience is a good thing! Although momentum is not always reliable in the short term due to ever-evolving world events, over the long term it is still the most reliable performer. This document opens as a web page and may optionally be converted to a PDF for your records or sharing with others.
AlphaDroid-EZMO-EZRO-Index-Methodologies.PDF
The EZAL- version will be similar when complete.
AlphaDroid is the performance leader among subscription-based momentum strategy design and management platforms for Investment Advisors.
SectorSurfer is the performance leader among subscription-based momentum strategy design and management platforms for individual investors.
If the AlphaDroid Alternative Alternatives is of interest, please write to me and let me know your thoughts. Thanks, Scott. SJuds@SumGrowth.com
11536 Riviera PL NE Seattle, WA 98125 US
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